~90 chart-pattern hypotheses, tested all at once
We tested about ninety chart patterns at once; after correcting for the fact that a few always look good by chance, not one held up.
Test ninety patterns and a few will look significant by chance. After correcting for multiple testing, none of ~90 candidate chart patterns survived. This is the honest denominator behind every other entry here.
~90 pattern hypotheses screened together. With a Benjamini-Hochberg correction for multiple testing applied (the standard statistical adjustment for the fact that testing many ideas at once guarantees a few false winners), zero survived. The handful that looked significant raw were false positives from the size of the search itself.
- Kill date
- 2026-03-12
- Sample
- ~90 hypotheses
- Method
- Documented kill
- Verdict
- multiple-testing wipeout
Tested on the record and published in full, with the real numbers, whatever the result.
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